Wednesday, January 03, 2007

2007 Prediction Criticism

I've been meaning to assault - yes, just for fun - somebody else's 2007 security predictions before releasing my own. And I've been looking for a suitable target for days and - oops! - Richard "Death of the IDS" Stiennon releases his.

Now, I mentioned in the past (just Google) that some people just shouldn't be in the prediction business :-) So, what do we have to tear apart here:

"4. Attacks against DNS are the threat of the year"

He-he, no way. This ain't 1995 anymore. Yes, DNS servers will be hit, but it will certainly not be "a threat of the year."

"
6. More attacks against wireless networks"

Nope, dramatic increase is not going to happen. There are still enough Windows boxes left to hit before moving on. Then again, a law of small numbers might help and the current low attack count +1 would qualify as "more attacks"...

But - as a disclosure - there is one prediction that is superbly inciting. In fact, I was going to put it in my own prediction set as well (just wait...) Here it is:

"10. Spread of Windows Vista will have zero impact on the overall threatscape"

Right on! It won't have an impact.




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Dr Anton Chuvakin